big 12 tournament bracket - The Breakdown
The already hard-to-figure bubble got even more complicated this weekend. Here’s how we see things right now, with seven days to go until Selection Sunday:

Despite losing at Oregon, we think that Arizona is still safe. They obviously have to beat Oregon State in their Pac-10 opener to stay safe, but if they do that, we think the Wildcats’ SOS, their RPI, and the return of Nic Wise will sway the committee into giving them a bid. In any other year, they’d be done at 8-10, but this year, the way the bubble is, even two games under .500 in conference can get you in.

We also think that Illinois State is safe despite being blown out by Drake in the MVC final. After finishing second in conference, all the Redbirds needed to do was get to the conference tourney final to get a bid. Kentucky, meanwhile, is looking better and better and is up to a 10 seed in or latest field after beating Florida on Sunday. The Wildcats are the fourth best team in the SEC right now, and will probably be able to survive even if they lose to (we’ll assume) Mississippi in the SEC quarters.

As for some other bubble issues:

We still aren’t 100% sold on Ohio State, and we think they probably have to beat Michigan State again in the Big Ten tourney to get a bid, but right now, they’re in. The committee does love teams that are playing late, and OSU certainly fits the bill…

Oregon needs to beat Washington State in their Pac-10 tourney game to lock down a bid, and the way they are playing right now, we think they’ll be able to pull the upset…

Even with their semifinal loss to William & Mary, we think VCU deserves a bid. The Rams dominated the Colonial’s regular season and, while they don’t have a Top 50 win, their wins over Maryland, Houston, Richmond, and Bradley aren’t shabby. VCU also has its own NCAA success and the Colonial’s success in past years go
Source: big 12 tournament bracket - Bracketology 101’s Field of 65 - March 10

                        

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